Skip to main content

Posts

Showing posts from December, 2010

Investing in High Interest Rate Environment

India is in a rising interest rate environment. We have already seen the RBI raising interest rates five times since March 2010. Last week, in its policy review, the central bank left rates unchanged, merely reducing the SLR to 24% from 25%. However, this is certainly not the end of the story. With the inflation showing no signs of easing in the medium term, raising interest rates is one of the most important tools in the hands of the government/central bank. Rising interest rates are generally not taken well by the investors at large. Firstly because it directly hurts the pockets of the individuals. The interest rates are increased to suck money out of the system and to curb the inflation. As rates increase, banks pass on the increase in rates to its customers and consequently home loans become more expensive. People having loans have less disposable income as their monthly payments increase. Let's see how this impacts the businesses. Companies need funds to operate and as Ca

Sectors that have consistently outperformed the Sensex

With just 10 working days for the year 2010 to complete, here is a small analysis of the sectors that have consistently outperformed the Sensex over the last 6 years. Average Yearly Return of the Sensex over from 2005 - 2010 = 29.0% [Max return in Yr 2009 - 77.3%] Sectors that have outperformed the Sensex in terms of Average Yearly Returns: Realty ........................ 98.6%  [Max return in Yr 2006 - 469.0%] (Realty Index introduced in 2006) Consumer Goods ..... 51.5%  [Max return in Yr 2007 - 114.8%] Metals ........................ 50.9%  [Max return in Yr 2009 - 220.4%] Consumer Durables .49.1%  [Max return in Yr 2005 - 110.6%] Auto ........................... 42.7%  [Max return in Yr 2009 - 200.5%] Power ........................ 35.8%  [Max return in Yr 2007 - 125.0%] Oil & Gas ................... 35.0%  [Max return in Yr 2007 - 112.8%] Banks ......................... 32.5%  [Max return in Yr 2009 - 81.0%] On a year over year basis, Consumer Goods (AAR 51.1%)