Investment Valuation in India

After a long global political battle, China’s decision to open (appreciate) its currency have come as a breather for metal prices, but the long-term impact of Yuan appreciation on metals prices may not be as simple as it looks. China’s purchasing power in the international markets will increase along with the Yuan’s appreciation. China’s demand for commodities is driven by multiple factors such as real demand from manufacturers, construction industry and stockpiling besides speculative demand from traders. However alignment to bulk orders may not encourage buying based on real demand due to appreciation. China being the world’s largest importer of metals and ores, appreciation of Yuan will lower the import price of metals for Chinese importers and manufacturers. This will potentially help push up international prices of these commodities (including in India). This is a positive development for Indian metal and ore producers. However, purchases are eventually determined by demand...

The reason why China is fast becoming a preferred investment destination and is a toigh competitor for India are not as obvious as it seems. Economic giant US is also not as dominating for China as it is for most other nations in the world. The fact that Chinese goods are sold at a low price across the world is not only because China has been able to able to leverage on the scale and cheap labour backed by solid manufacturing infrastructure. The reasons are more than what meets the eye. The fact is that Chinese yuan is kept at an artificially low level, giving it an unfair advantage in selling its exports. Based on this exchange rate, the US goods looks artificially inflated in price while Chinese goods look artificially deflated in price. US exports to China in 2008 were $69.7 billion (exports to India were $25.7 bn) while the Imports were $337.8 billion (Imports from India were $17.682 bn). China has not been letting its currency appreciate in a free market as it feels that...