Skip to main content

Macro economics - the inflation cycle

Inflation is a rise in general level of prices of goods and services over time. Although "inflation" is sometimes used to refer to a rise in the prices of a specific set of goods or services, a rise in prices of one set (such as food) without a rise in others (such as wages) is not included in the original meaning of the word. Inflation can be thought of as a decrease in the value of the unit of currency. It is measured as the percentage rate of change of a price index.
Annual Inflation Rate = (Current Price Level - Year ago Price level) / Year Ago Price level.
It isn't that easy to calculate it though as the inputs to the "Price Level" is huge and is generally calculated using piles of data by government and specialised agencies.
Types and Causes of Inflation:
Demand Pull Inflation is caused by an increase in aggregate demand. This results from an increase in money supply and increased government spending i.e. Government purchases.
Cost Push Inflation is caused by a decrease in aggregate supply (now this may seem equal to an increase in aggregate demand, but consider the demand being constant; cet per; remember?). This results from an increase in the real price of an important factor of production like wage rate, price of key raw material etc

Without explaining more about what is Inflation, lets come to the point; the effects of inflation on the Investment industry or the economy and lets learn what does the government and central agencies do to manage inflation.
Lets consider an Overheating Economy
  • Government fears inflation
  • The Central bank decides to Decrease Aggregate Demand and Consumer Spending
  • It raises interest rates in order to discourage borrowing and expenditure on goods and services
  • It sells securities in the open market, mops up bank reserves and induces banks to cut their lending
  • Bank Reserves and Quantity of Money supply decreases,
  • Banks thus make smaller quantity of new loans
  • The quantity of money in the economy decreases
  • Interest rates rise (if not raised by the central bank, as mentioned above)
  • The Home currency appreciates in the Foreign Exchange market
  • Exports Decreases
  • Consumption and Investment Decreases
  • People want to hold more money
  • People sell their (financial) assets
  • Supply of (financial) assets increases
  • Aggregate Demand Decreases
  • Price level Falls
  • Real GDP Growth rate decreases
  • Inflation decreases.

Reverse may be situation when the economy is falling.

So now u know why the central bank keeps selling or buying the financial securities in the market and why the financial market makes a fuss each time the central bank buys/sells the securities.

More question? post comment or email me !!

Hope u found the information useful!!

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Angel Tax on start-ups may be amended soon

The Angel Tax imposed on start-ups has been the talk of the town lately. Various start-up founders have received demand notices from the tax authorities which plans to tax the capital receipts in the form of Income when the tax authorities believe that the amount is in excess of the value of the company. What is Angel Tax? In 2012, the then Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee introduced a tax on unlisted companies which aimed at raising funds from investors (the 'angel investors") who invested in these companies with the objective of gaining significant returns. Since many companies used this route to launder money and raise funds at excessive valuations, the tax was imposed to arrest such money laundering. Angel Tax is a tax payable by the unlisted companies who raise funds via issue of shares where the share price is believed to be in excess of the fair market value of the shares sold. What is a Startup? An entity shall be considered as a Startup: (i). Upto a period o...

Vikash Goel - Introduction

Hello People, Welcome to my Blog Please pardon me if u find this blog a bit unconventional, unusual and out of place. To be honest, m not a blogger and this is my Debut as far as Blogging is concerned. I am a simple, average guy from Kolkata, India. I am a CA, MS Finance, CFA (ICFAI, India), Diploma in Business Management, Bachelor of Commerce. Meanwhile for a quick look about me, visit the link below, (its become a little outdated as of now but still enough to give an idea about me) http://www.freewebs.com/vikash_goel/ www.vikashgoel.com Catch ya soon

CA Info - industrial training

Hi Friends, Here is the list of approved insitutions eligible for imparting Industrial training Approved Organisations - Eastern Region SIEMENS LIMITED 43 SHANTI PALLY E.M.BY PASS CALCUTTA 700042 CITI BANK N.A. TATA CENTRE 41,CHOWRINGHEE ROAD CALCUTTA 700071 RECKITT & COLMAN OF INDIA LTD 41,CHOWRINGHEE ROAD CALCUTTA 700071 BRITANIA INDUSTRIES LTD . 14, TARATALA ROAD CALCUTTA 700088 ICI INDIA LTD 34, CHOWRINGHEE ROAD CALCUTTA 700071 GRASIM INDUSTRIES LTD. INDUSTRY HOUSE 14TH FLOOR, 10, CAMAC STREET KOLKATA 700017 AMERICAN EXPRESS BANK 21, OLD COURT HOUSE STREET CALCUTTA 700001 BALMER LAWRIE CO. LTD 21, NETAJI SUBHAS ROAD CALCUTTA 700001 INDIAN OIL CORPORATION LIMITED 2,GARIAHAT ROAD(S) DHAKURIA CALCUTTA 700068 SRF LIMITED EXPRESS BUILDING 1ST FLOOR BAHADUR SHAH ZAFAR MARG NEW DELHI 110002 INDIAN RAYON AND INDUSTRIES LTD RISHRA HOOGHLY 712249 PEPSI-COLA INDIA MARKETING COMPANY SREE MANJURI BLDG. SUITE NO.6 , 1ST FLOOR 8/1, MIDDLETON ROW CALCUTT...